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NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) -Robbie Caldwell has a thick drawl thanks to his South Carolina hometown, a place he notes had a population of 1,500 counting cats and dogs.There were so few people he used to hunt dove out of his backdoor.But Caldwell says he

<< AP Source: NCAA probe targets UNC football program
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<< Dolphins DT Ferguson retires
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miami Dolphins defensive tackle Jason Ferguson announced his retirement on Thursday. Ferguson, 35, played last two seasons for Miami and was recently hit with an eight-game suspension for a violation of t

<< Hurricanes ink D Rodney
Raleigh, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Carolina Hurricanes signed defenseman Bryan Rodney to a one-year, two-way contract. Rodney appeared in 22 games with Carolina last season while also spending time with the AHL's Albany River Rats. While

Graham moves on at U.S. Publinx >>
Greensboro, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wesley Graham knocked off stroke-play medalist John-Tyler Griffin in the second round, then ousted Garret Rank Thursday afternoon in round three to advance to the quarterfinals of the U.S. Amateur

England's Heskey retires from international duty >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - England striker Emile Heskey has announced his retirement from international football. The 32-year-old's last appearance for his country was when he came on as a late substitute for Jermain Defoe in

Ronaldinho to stay in Milan >>
Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - AC Milan General Manager Adriano Galliani has dismissed reports suggesting veteran playmaker Ronaldinho could leave the club in the summer. The Brazil star has been linked with a return to his homeland with

St. Johnstone signs striker Parkin >>
Perth, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - St. Johnstone has completed the signing of experienced striker Sam Parkin on a two-year contract. The 29-year-old spent last season with Walsall, but was allowed to leave the Saddlers after scoring three

FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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