Cloudy's Knight hangs on to win Canadian International
Horseracing Betting Lines
10/21/2007 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cloudy's Knight, making his third straight start at Woodbine, held off 5-2 favorite Ask to capture Sunday's 70th running of the $2 million Canadian International. In the supporting $1 million E.P. Taylor Stakes, 7-5 favorite Mrs. Lindsay caught Sealy Hill to win the 1 1/4 mile grass race.
The Canadian International, won by Secretariat in 1973, is a major turf event for thoroughbreds not entered in Breeders' Cup races. A full field of 12 was entered with European horses getting most of the attention.
Cloudy's Knight was coming off a one-length win at Woodbine in the Sky Classic Stakes after placing second in the Nijinsky here. The betting public sent off the seven-year-old gelding as an 18-1 longshot.
The pace in the 1 1/2 mile turf race was set by Marsh Side with Sunriver running second and Cloudy's Knight racing third up the backstretch. Marsh Side continued to set the pace around the turn for home before giving way at the top of the stretch.
Cloudy's Knight, ridden by Ramsey Zimmerman, took the lead in mid-stretch and was able to hold off Ask. Trained by Frank Kirby, Cloudy's Knight was able to prevail by a nose over Ask with 3-1 morning-line favorite Quijano finishing a length back in third.
The time for the 1 1/2 miles was 2:27.71 on a firm turf course.
Completing the order of finish was Stream of Gold, Oracle West, Sunriver, Sky Conqueror, Honolulu, Windward Islands, Irish Wells, Linda's Lad and Marsh Side.
The win, worth $1.2 million, pushes Cloudy's Knight's career earnings to more than $2 million. Owned by S J Stables, the winner has won 10 of 32 career starts, with a victory earlier this year in the Fair Grounds Breeders' Cup Handicap.
Cloudy's Knight returned $38.70, $11.50 and $7.60. Ask paid $5.40 and $3.40, and Quijano paid $4.50 to show.
Mrs. Lindsay, ridden by John Murtagh, fought back to retake the lead from Sealy Hill to win the E.P. Taylor Stakes for fillies and mares. The time for the 1 1/4 miles was 2:00.68 on the grass.
Sealy Hill, the Canadian Triple Tiara champion, passed the eventual winner in mid-stretch, but was unable to hang on for the victory. Mrs. Lindsay posted a half-length win as she set a new stakes record.
Barancella, who was second in last years E.P. Taylor, finished third followed by The Niagara Queen, Sans Souci Island, Essential Edge, Hostess, Four Sins, Safari Queen and Elle Runaway.
Mrs. Lindsay paid $4.80, $2.90 and $2.50. Sealy Hill returned $4.70 and $3.20, and Barancella paid $3.20 to show.
Mrs. Lindsay is a Pennsylvania-bred three-year-old owned by Mrs. Bettina Jenney and trained by Francois Rohaut. In her last start she won the Prix Vermeille at Longchamp in France.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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